Broad Bracketing for Low Probability Events
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
BROAD BRACKETING INDUCES UTILITARIAN DECISIONS 1 Broad Bracketing Induces Utilitarian Consumer Decisions
In this digital age, over 2 billion people are making increasingly important financial and health decisions on digital interfaces of computers and mobile devices. Yet we know people fail to have enough self-control to resist temptations time and time again. How can we help people make better decisions in a digital environment? We hypothesize that using broad bracketing to present decisions will...
متن کاملOptimal Policy with Low - Probability Extreme Events ∗
The optimal policy response to a low-probability extreme event is examined. A simple policy problem is solved for a sequence of different loss functions: quadratic, combined quadratic/absolute-deviation, absolute-deviation, combined quadratic/constant, and perfectionist. The paper shows that, under some simplifying assumptions, each of these loss functions puts less weight on a low-probability ...
متن کاملDesigning the Crisis management model for broad natural events (Case Study: Kermanshah Earthquake)
Purpose: Based on the importance of crisis management in broad natural events because of: wide range of impacts and its potential for severe damages, this article provided an indigenous model for disaster management in natural disasters. Method: The method used in this study is grounded theory. To design the model, 18 semi-structured in-depth interviews were conducted with a sample of academic ...
متن کاملVery low probability lung scan findings: A need for change
This study was conducted to determine the prevalence of PE in patients with V/Q scans interpreted as representing a very low probability (VLP) of PE (1-3 small segmental perfusion defects with a normal chest radiograph). An analysis of the entire data set obtained during the PIOPED study was performed. Of the total of 1,359 patients in whom the presence or absence of PE was confirmed, 80 ...
متن کاملPignistic Probability Transforms for Mixes of Low- and High-Probability Events
In some real world information fusion situations, time critical decisions must be made with an incomplete information set. Belief function theories (e.g., DempsterShafer theory of evidence, Transferable Belief Model) have been shown to provide a reasonable methodology for processing or fusing the quantitative clues or information measurements that form the incomplete information set. For decisi...
متن کاملذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: SSRN Electronic Journal
سال: 2020
ISSN: 1556-5068
DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3537938